Peter K. Schott

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Papers



Working Papers

To Find Relative Earnings Gains from Trade, Look Outside Manufacturing and Upstream
with Pierce and Tello-Trillo (May 2024)

Tariff Rate Uncertainty and the Structure of Supply Chains
with Heise, Pierce and Schaur (Feb 2024)

Structural Change Within versus Across Firms: Evidence from the United States
with Ding, Fort and Redding (May 2022)

Imputing Missing Values in the US Census Bureau's County Business Patterns
with Eckert, Fort and Yang (January 2021)

Colocation of Production and Innovation: Evidence from the United States
with Fort, Keller, Yeaple and Zolas (December 2020)

Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time
with Alfaro, Chari and Greenland (May 5 2020)

Transfer Pricing by U.S.-Based Multinational Firms
with Bernard and Jensen (Aug 2006)

Published Papers

Using Equity Market Reactions to Infer Exposure to Trade Liberalization (2024 Journal of International Economics 152(2024) 104000) with Greenland, Ion and Lopresti

Did Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections? (2022 Journal of International Economics 139(2022) 103652) with Che, Lu, Pierce and Tao

Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S. Counties (March 2020 AER Insights 2(1):47-64) with Pierce

Investment Responses to Trade Liberalization: Evidence from US Industries and Plants (2018 Journal of International Economics 115: 203-222) with Pierce

New Perspectives on the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment . (2018 Journal of Economic Perspectives 23(2):47-72) with Fort and Pierce

Global Firms (2018 Journal of Economic Literature 56(2): 565-619) with Bernard, Jensen and Redding

The Surprisingly Swift Decline of US Manufacturing Employment (2016 American Economic Review 106(7):1632-62) with Pierce

Trade Liberalization and Embedded Institutional Reform: Evidence from Chinese Exporter (2013 American Economic Review 103(6):2169-95) with Khandelwal and Wei

Testing for Relative Factor Price Equality with Unobserved Differences in Factor Quality or Productivity (2013 American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 5(2):135-163) with Bernard and Redding

A Concordance Between Ten-Digit U.S. Harmonized System Codes and SIC/NAICS Product Classes and Industries (2012 Journal of Economic and Social Measurement 37(1-2):61-96) with Pierce

The Empirics of Firm Heterogeneity and International Trade (2012 Annual Review of Economics 4: 283-313) with Bernard, Jensen and Redding

Concording US Harmonized System Categories Over Time (2012 Journal of Official Statistics 28(1):53-68 with Pierce

Multi-Product Firms and Trade Liberalization (2011 Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(3):1271-1318) with Bernard and Redding

Estimating Cross-Country Differences in Product Quality (2011 Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(1):417-474) with Hallak

Is Mexico a Lumpy Country? (2010 Review of International Economics 18(5):937-950) with Bernard and Robertson

Intra-firm Trade and Product Contractibility (2010 American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings 100(2): 444-448) with Bernard, Jensen and Redding

Wholesalers and Retailers in US Trade (2010 American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings 100(2): 408-413) with Bernard, Jensen and Redding

Multi-Product Firms and Product Switching (2010 American Economic Review 100:70-97) with Bernard and Redding

Products and Productivity (2009 Scandinavian Journal of Economics 111(4):681-709) with Bernard and Redding

The Margins of US Trade (2009 American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings 99(2):487-493) with Bernard, Jensen and Redding

Relative Wage Variation and Industry Location in the United Kingdom (2008 Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 70(4):431-459) with with Bernard, Redding and Simpson

The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports (2008 Economic Policy 53:5-49)

Firms in International Trade (2007 Journal of Economic Perspectives 21(3):105-130) with Bernard, Jensen and Redding

Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms (2007 Review of Economic Studies 74(1):31-66) with Bernard and Redding

Trade Costs, Firms and Productivity (2006 Journal of Monetary Economics 53(5): 917-937) with Bernard and Jensen

Survival of the Best Fit: Exposure to Low-Wage Countries and the (Uneven) Growth of US Manufacturing Plants (2006 Journal of International Economics 68(1):219-237) with Bernard and Jensen

The Rich (and Poor) Keep Getting Richer (2005 Harvard Business Review) with Leamer

Across-Product versus Within-Product Specialization in International Trade (2004 Quarterly Journal of Economics 119(2):647-678)

How Offshore Work Affects Your Industry (2004 Harvard Business Review) with Bernard and Jensen

Distance, Skill Deepening and Development: Will Peripheral Countries Ever Get Rich? (2003 Journal of Development Economics 72(2):515-541) with Redding

A Comparison of Latin American and Asian Product Exports to the United States, 1972 to 1999 (2003 Latin American Journal of Economics 121:414-422)

One Size Fits All? Heckscher-Ohlin Specialization in Global Production (2003 American Economic Review 93(2):686-708)

Does Natural Resource Abundance Cause Latin American Income Inequality? (1999 Journal of Development Economics 59(1): 3-42) with Leamer, Maul and Rodriguez


Policy Papers

Report on the State of Available Data for the Study of International Trade and Foreign Direct Investment (2010 NBER Working Paper 16245) with Feenstra, Lipsey, Branstetter, Foley, Harrigan, Jensen, Kletzer, Mann and Wright

Vietnam’s Textile and Clothing Exports to the U.S. Under OTEXA Monitoring (September 2007)

Assessing the Impact of Trade Liberalization on Import-Competing Industries in the Appalachian Region ( September 2004) with Bernard and Jensen

Facing the Dragon:  The Prospects for US Manufacturing in the Coming Decade ( May 2004 ) with Bernard and Jensen

US Imports, Exports and Tariff Data, 1989 to 2001 (2002 NBER 9387) with Feenstra and Romalis

Land Abundance as a Source of Latin American Income Inequality (July 13,1999) with Leamer


Dormant Working Papers

Insertion of Argentine Firms in Global Value Chains Not Oriented to the Mass Market ( November 2012 ) with Gonzalez, Hallak and Soria Genta

Vietnam’s Textile and Clothing Exports to the U.S. Under OTEXA Monitoring (September 2007)

A Note on Empirical Implementation of the Lens Condition ( December 2004 ) with Bernard and Robertson

Ranking Countries According to the Value of Their Exports ( December 2003 )

Moving Up and Moving Out: Product-Level US Exports and Competition from Low-Wage Countries ( March 2002 )

Land Abundance, Risk and Return: An HO Approach to FDI ( May 1998 )

Education, Development and Trade: What's the Relationship? ( January 1998 )

Strategic Options: Black-Scholes and Pearl Harbor ( June 1997 )


Presentations since 1999 (by paper)

35. Why are Valuable Patents Getting Harder to Find?
Yale Trade Day, New Haven, 2024.9.6

34. Colocation of Production and Innovation: Evidence from the United States
New Thinking in Industrial, Innovation and Technology Policy, Columbia, 2023.11.10
Vienna Workshop on International Economic Networks, 2020.12.15

33. Structural Change Within vs Across Firms: Evidence from the United States
Asia Global Institute x Institute of China Economy Trade Conference, HKU, 2023.5.10
University of Maastricht Conference on Structural Change, 2019.10.23
Dartmouth/Tuck, 2019.10.15
Global Value Chain Conference, UIBE Beijing, 2019.7.25

32. Using Equity Market Reactions to Infer Exposure to Trade Liberalization
Banco Italia, 2020.10.12
Harvard/MIT, 2019.11.18
Chicago Booth, 2019.11.4
DICE, Dusseldorf, 2019.10.22
Princeton Summer IES Workshop, 2019.7.1
London School of Economics, 2019.6.10
NBER EASE Conference, Bangkok, 2019.6.6
University of Toronto, 2019.5.29
Board of Governors, DC 2019.5.9
Tokyo University, 2019.3.11
Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2019.3.8
Hitotsubashi GCOE Trade Conference, Tokyo 2018.12.8

31. Trade Liberalization and Investment
Hong Kong University, 2018.6.28
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 2018.5.11
Georgetown, Washington DC, 2017.11.13

30. New Perspectives on the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment>
Industry 4.0 Conference, Philippines, 2020.10.13
EIIT, Purdue, 2018.10.27
Encuentro Economía de Chile (SECHI), 2018.9.7
Asia Pacific Trade Conference, Hong Kong, 2018.6.29
Duke Conference on Firm, Industry and Trade Dynamics, 2018.5.3
Yale International Trade Seminar, 2017.11.8

29. To Find Relative Earnings Gains from Trade, Look Outside Manufacturing and Upstream (Former titles: Trade Liberalization and Labor-Market Gains: Evidence from US Matched Employer-Employee Data, Trade Liberalization and Earnings among Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Workers in the United States)>
Boston Fed, 2024.10.22 Globalization and Workforce Composition Conference, Paris (Dauphine), 2024.7.10 CAED Conference, Penn State, 2024.4.8 CEPR Paris Symposium, 2023.12.14
NBER ITI Winter Meeting, Palo Alto, 2023.12.1
University of California, San Diego, 2023.11.2
Annual Conference on China and the Global Economy, HKU, 2023.5.9
Vanderbilt, 2022.10.19
Trade, Globalization, and Development Conference, Namur Belgium, 2023.5.18
AEA Meetings 2022.1.4
Board of Governors, DC 2017.4.28
Yale Trade Lunch, 2017.3.7

28. Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S. Counties
Ridge Summer School, Mexico City, 2017.6.19
IEA World Congress, Mexico City, 2017.6.19
ETH, Zurich 2017.5.30
Board of Governors, DC 2017.4.27
NBER ITI Winter Meeting, Stanford 2016.12.3
National Bank of Belgium, 2016.11.15
MIT, 2016.10.27
Indiana University, 2016.10.5
Yale Center in Beijing, 2016.7.22
Global Value Summer Workshop e, UIBE Beijing 2016.7.21
Stanford SITE Conference, 2016.6.29
Oxford Conference on Trade and Health, 2016.6.8
Chicago Booth, 2016.5.16
GA Tech, 2016.4.8
Yale Cowles Foundation, 2016.3.30
Yale Trade Lunch, 2015.11.17

27. Trade Policy and the Structure of Supply Chains>
CREI Workshop on Geography, Trade and Growth, Barcelona, 2022.12.13
University of Mannheim, 2022.11.16
ERWIT 2016
Indiana University, 2016.10.5
Global Value Summer Workshop, UIBE Beijing 2016.7.21
Philly Fed Trade Conference, 2015.11.20
City University of NY, 2015.11.10
University of Toronto, Toronto, 2015.9.23
NBER Japan Conference, Tokyo, 2015.7.30

26. Do Chinese Imports Influence American Politics?>
Global Value Summer Workshop e, UIBE Beijing 2016.7.21
NBER China Conference, Cambridge MA, 2015.10.9

25. The Dynamics of Firm Capabilities
AEA Annual Meeting, Boston, 2015.1.3

24. The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
Ridge Workshop on Firm Dynamics, Trade and Development, Montevideo 2014.12.11
CESifo Area Conference on Global Economy, Munich 2014.6.16
LACEA-IADB-CAF TIGN Conference, Santiago CHL, 2014.5.23
Yale School of Management, 2014.4.9
Penn State, 2014.4.8
US China Commission 2014.2.21
Yale (Macro Lunch) 2014.2.19
North American Regional Science Council Conference, Atlanta 2013.11.14
GW Conference on U.S.-China Economic Relations, Washington DC 2013.11.8
Yale (Trade Workshop), 2013.10.9
NY Fed, 2013.9.27
Stanford, 2013.9.25
University of Tennessee, 2013.9.16
Graduate Institute, Geneva, 2013.8.29
NBER Summer Institute, Trade 2013.6.11
HKUST Conference on International Economics, 2013.6.7
HKU, 2013.6.5
LSE, 2013.5.15
Wharton, 2013.4.29
Carnegie Mellon / University of Pittsburgh, 2013.4.12
Hitotsubashi GCOE Trade Conference, Tokyo 2012.12.9
UCSD, 2012.12.4
Duke, 2012.11.26
Third China-US Civil Strategic Dialogue, Beijing 2012.8.25
American Economic Association Annual Meeting, Chicago, 2012.1.7

23. Trade Liberalization and Embedded Institutional Reform: Evidence From Chinese Exporters
Hitotsubashi, Tokyo, 2012.6.27
ITAM, Mexico City, 2012.5.18
CREI-Move Workshop on Misallocation, Barcelona, 2012.5.12
NBER Productivity, July 12, 2012
NBER ITI, August 5, 2012
Cowles Summer Conference, 2011.6.17
Princeton 2011.4.20
World Bank 2011.4.5
Ecole d'Economie/INRA/Sciences Po, Paris, 2010.10.19

22. Wholesalers and Retailers in U.S. Trade
American Economic Association Annual
Meeting, Atlanta, 1/5/10

21. The Margins of U.S. Trade
American Economic Association Annual Meeting, San Francisco, 1/4/9

20.Multi-Product Firms and Trade Liberalization
Berkeley, 12/8/9
San Francisco Fed, 12/7/9
CAED 2009 (Tokyo), 10/3/9
CES-IFO Summer Institute (Venice), 7/12/9
Board of Governors, 9/6/8
Egon Sohmen Symposium, Barcelona, 5/24/8
Penn State, 5/4/7
HEI, University of Geneva, 1/12/7

19. Firms in International Trade
Stanford Institute for Theoretical Economics, 8/8/8
WTO, 1/11/7

18. Transfer Pricing by U.S.-Based Multinational Firms
UBC, 11/3/6
Yale SOM, 3/29/6
UVA, 2/21/6

17. Estimating Cross-Country Differences in Product Quality
Paris School of Economics, 5/9/11
LSE, 7/4/8
University of Chicago GSB, 11/13/6
UCSC, 1/20/6
UCSD, 1/19/6
Columbia, 12/7/5
UCLA, 12/30/5
International Monetary Fund, 10/25/5
University of Maryland, 10/24/5
Board of Governors 10/13/5
Bank of Spain 9/29/5
NBER ITI, 8/1/5
NBER CRIW, 7/26/5<

16. Multi-Product Firms and the Dynamics of Product Mix>
Geroski Lecture, UK Competition Commission, London, 6/13/7
Georgetown, 4/29/5

15. Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms
Harvard, 10/6/4
Yale, 10/4/4

14.The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports
45th Economic Policy Panel Meeting (Frankfurt), 4/20/7
IMF China Trade Conference, 4/5/7
China Development Forum (Beijing), 3/17/7-3/19/7
NBER China Working Group, 10/1/4

13. Export Prices and the Divergence of Leaders and Followers on the International Quality Ladder
Michigan, 12/12/4

12. Product Choice and Product Switching
CEPR Conference on Innovation and the Structure of Product Market Competition, London, 11/22/2

11. Distance, Skill Deepening and Development: Will Peripheral Countries Ever Get Rich?
Inter-American Seminar on Economics (NBER, Monterrey Mexico), 11/15/2
EIIT 9 (Emory) 11/8/2
LSE, 10/10/2

10. Trade Costs, Firms and Productivity Joint w/ Bernard, Jensen.
Carnegie-Rochester Conference on International Trade and Globalization, 11/18/5
CEU, Budapest, 6/14/3
Boston College, 11/18/2
EIIT 9 (Emory) 11/8/2
University of Maryland, 11/4/2
University of California, Santa Cruz, 10/11/2
Dartmouth Summer Camp, 8/2/2

9. Survival of the Best Fit: Low Wage Competition and the (Uneven) Growth of US Manufacturing Plants
AEA Anuual Meeting, Philadelphia, 1/9/4
University of Toronto, 11/4/3
Syracuse, 4/24/3
The Hemispheric Trade Debate Conference, Yale University 4/3/3
Yale University, 12/9/2
UCLA, 12/4/2
University of Michigan, 10/25/2
University of Texas, Austin, 10/21/2
University of Nottingham, 10/9/2
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 5/17/2
NBER Univeristy Conference on Firms and Trade, 5/10/2
University of North Carolina, 4/18/2
University of Pennsylvania, 3/19/2

8. Moving Up and Moving Out: Product-Level US Exports and Competition from Low-Wage Countries
NBER ITI Spring Meeting, 3/14/2
University of California, Berkeley, 12/14/1
Yale School of Management, 11/28/1
Dartmouth College, 11/14/1
EIIT 8 (Purdue) 11/9/1

7. Across-Product versus Within-Product Specialization in International Trade
World Bank, 5/8/1
Columbia University, 12/13/0
University of California, Santa Cruz, 11/14/0
University of Oregon, 11/10/0
Princeton University, 10/20/0
NBER ITI Summer Institute 8/9/0
London School of Economics, (Visitor 5/27/0 - 6/2/0)
Yale School of Management, 4/26/0
Yale University, 3/27/0

6. Factor Price Equality and the Economies of the United States
NBER ITI Summer Institute 8/9/1
NBER Labor in the Global Economy Seminar, 5/11/1
Yale Department of Economics 4/2/1
EIIT 7 (Boulder) 11/4/00
NBER ITI Summer Institute 8/9/0
5. Has Manufacturing Evolved In a Manner Consistent with Standard Trade Theory?
EIIT 6 (Purdue), 11/13/99
4. One Size Fits All? Heckscher-Ohlin Specialization in Global Production
University of Chicago GSB, 11/10/99
Beijing University CCER, 7/7/99
1999 Far Eastern Meeting of The Econometric Society (Singapore), 7/2/99
Job Market 1/99-3/99
EIIT 5 (Purdue), 11/14/98

3. Land Abundance, Risk and Return: An HO Linear Programming Approach to FDI
Workshop on Empirical Research into International Trade and Investment, June 19-22, 1998, Copenhagen, Denmark
Inter-American Development Bank (Washington DC), 3/27/98.

2. Education, Development and Trade: What's the Relationship?>
EIIT 4 (Purdue), 11/1/97
Conference on Human Capital and Economic Development in Latin America (sponsored by AGSM CIBER), 5/31/97 (Topic: Are Latin American Workers Tool-Deprived?)
Conference on Economic Integration and Taiwan's Industry Restructuring (sponsored by National Cheng Chi University, Taiwan), 5/15/97. (Topic: Should Taiwan Invest in the Mainland?)

1. Concerts of Power and Regional Intervention
Conference on Regional Conflict in a Post Cold-War Era, UCSD IGCC, 4/22/95